Fuente Vaqueros 2014 vs Otura Atletico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ORG
5 - 2
FVA
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
3 - 2
DGU
32%
23%
45%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FVA
0 - 2
CAS
15%
19%
66%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
PMO
5 - 0
FVA
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FVA
1 - 0
BEN
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Otura Atletico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
OAT
2 - 3
CAS
19%
20%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PMO
8 - 1
OAT
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OAT
2 - 2
BEN
41%
23%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CFL
1 - 0
OAT
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OAT
0 - 0
PAP
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |