Fuente Vaqueros 2014 vs Orgiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
33.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
DGU
3 - 2
FVA
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
FVA
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FVA
2 - 0
PMO
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
FVA
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FVA
1 - 0
CFL
47%
22%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orgiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ORG
2 - 3
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PMO
3 - 1
ORG
65%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ORG
8 - 2
BEN
37%
23%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CFL
2 - 2
ORG
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ORG
2 - 0
PAP
49%
23%
29%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |