Fuente Vaqueros 2014 vs Benalua 2004 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CFL
4 - 1
FVA
44%
23%
33%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
FVA
2 - 0
PAP
45%
23%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CAU
4 - 0
FVA
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAZ
4 - 2
FVA
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FVA
2 - 1
GUE
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Benalua 2004
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 2
CAS
31%
22%
46%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
PMO
7 - 0
BEN
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
5 - 1
DGU
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CFL
1 - 2
BEN
28%
22%
50%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 0
PAP
49%
22%
29%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |