Fuente Vaqueros 2014 vs Alhameña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
53.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALF
7 - 2
FVA
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FVA
0 - 3
VIZ
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FVA
3 - 2
CDM
48%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
5 - 1
FVA
51%
20%
28%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FVA
0 - 1
ESC
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alhameña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ALH
4 - 1
ATL
57%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 2
ALH
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ALH
0 - 1
COL
43%
22%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DGU
4 - 7
ALH
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALH
55%
21%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |