Fuenlabrada vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
TAL
0 - 0
FUE
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
FUE
0 - 0
ULP
47%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1999 |
SPB
4 - 0
FUE
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
FUE
4 - 0
MST
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
LEA
2 - 2
FUE
51%
25%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
RMC
3 - 0
LAL
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
PON
2 - 2
RMC
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
SSR
0 - 3
RMC
23%
25%
53%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
RMC
0 - 0
TAL
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ULP
2 - 2
RMC
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |