Fuenlabrada vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
2 - 1
FUE
53%
23%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FUE
1 - 0
RUN
28%
28%
45%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RSO
1 - 2
FUE
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FUE
1 - 1
RMC
20%
26%
54%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 1
FUE
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GER
0 - 1
LEI
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
ALB
11%
23%
67%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SDA
3 - 1
GER
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GER
2 - 2
RUN
21%
27%
51%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
RSO
4 - 0
GER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |