Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Fuenlabrada vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAV
0 - 0
FUE
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FUE
3 - 2
SSR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BUR
0 - 1
FUE
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
FUE
52%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
FUE
1 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CFC
79%
14%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
LOR
4 - 0
CDB
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHU
0 - 2
LOR
17%
20%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NUE
1 - 0
LOR
16%
20%
64%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
0 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |