AD Sporting San Fernando vs México FC C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.6%
15.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sporting San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FUE
3 - 1
COL
70%
16%
15%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FUE
3 - 0
TOL
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LME
2 - 4
FUE
15%
16%
69%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FUE
3 - 1
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ESC
1 - 2
FUE
16%
16%
68%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 3
MEX
17%
18%
65%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
MEX
21%
19%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CSC
2 - 1
MEX
36%
21%
43%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MEX
5 - 3
LPL
47%
21%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
MEX
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -1 |