AD Sporting San Fernando vs Julian Marias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.4%
7.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sporting San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ADS
4 - 8
FUE
17%
17%
66%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FUE
3 - 1
LIC
79%
12%
9%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDR
1 - 4
FUE
23%
18%
59%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
FUE
5 - 6
POL
70%
15%
15%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
LPV
2 - 0
FUE
60%
18%
22%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CDJ
0 - 5
LPV
11%
14%
75%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FOM
9 - 0
CDJ
81%
12%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CDJ
0 - 2
ESP
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
5 - 2
CDJ
74%
14%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CDJ
2 - 3
LSA
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |