Ilbirs vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
FTS
3 - 4
MUR
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 0
ALG
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 0
FTS
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KBA
0 - 1
FTS
35%
24%
42%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FTS
1 - 2
NEF
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 2
KBA
74%
17%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NEF
1 - 2
FKA
30%
24%
47%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
ALD
0 - 0
NEF
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
NEF
2 - 4
ALG
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
NEF
0 - 1
MUR
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |