Ilsenburg vs Dessau 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilsenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SSC
2 - 1
GWI
48%
21%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GWI
3 - 2
SCB
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GWI
2 - 3
SVW
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dessau 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVD
2 - 2
SVW
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 22 | 54 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 2
SVD
14%
24%
61%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SVD
4 - 0
FMA
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
EIL
5 - 0
SVD
5%
12%
84%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SVD
0 - 0
FCB
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 11 | 64 | 0 |