Ilsenburg vs SG Rot-Weiss Thalheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilsenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
GWI
61%
18%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GWI
1 - 1
SVB
19%
19%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 3
GWI
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GWI
1 - 2
SSV
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SVB
6 - 1
GWI
90%
7%
3%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SG Rot-Weiss Thalheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
SGR
2 - 2
SVB
58%
20%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 2
SGR
59%
19%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SGR
1 - 2
HSC
32%
22%
46%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
SGR
46%
22%
33%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SGR
2 - 1
SSC
28%
21%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |