Ilsenburg vs SC Bernburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+183%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilsenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
GWI
2 - 3
SVW
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
SVW
3 - 0
SCB
88%
8%
4%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 1
FCB
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SVB
2 - 2
SCB
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
SCB
4 - 2
FCR
59%
20%
22%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
2 - 2
SCB
51%
21%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |