Ilsenburg vs Fortuna Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
72.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilsenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FSV
1 - 1
GWI
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SVW
5 - 1
GWI
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
GWI
1 - 2
SGR
12%
17%
71%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 0
GWI
61%
18%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GWI
1 - 1
SVB
19%
19%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
FMA
69%
16%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FMA
3 - 2
SGR
38%
22%
40%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVB
2 - 0
FMA
37%
22%
42%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
FMA
5 - 1
SSV
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HSC
0 - 3
FMA
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +3 |