FK Metta vs Valmiera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
9º
7º
55
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
70%
18%
13%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
FAS
23%
22%
56%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 0
FSM
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
6 - 2
FSM
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 3
FSM
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Valmiera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
VAL
4 - 0
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
SHF
1 - 1
VAL
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
MIL
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 1
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 1
OLM
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |