FK Metta vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
10º
55
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 42.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 4
FSM
9%
14%
78%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 1
FSM
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FSM
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
1 - 0
LEV
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FKJ
0 - 1
RIG
17%
20%
63%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
0 - 1
RIG
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
LIE
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
BFC
1 - 7
RIG
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |