FK Metta vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
10º
21
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 69.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 10.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SUP
4 - 0
FSM
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
4 - 0
FSM
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
FKT
31%
21%
48%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
KZA
4 - 0
FSM
59%
22%
20%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 0
FSM
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
LIE
0 - 0
FKT
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
SUD
0 - 1
FKT
39%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ZAL
5 - 0
FKT
67%
18%
15%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
KAL
2 - 1
FKT
69%
17%
14%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |