FK Metta vs FK Liepāja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
10º
35
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
39.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 36 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
52.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 4
RIG
22%
24%
55%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 4
FSM
9%
14%
78%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 1
FSM
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 3
FKT
39%
24%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 1
FSM
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FK Liepāja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
KFV
0 - 2
LIE
3%
8%
89%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
LIE
45%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 0
GRO
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
FKT
1 - 3
LIE
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |