FK Metta vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
10º
27
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 82 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 79 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
23.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
FSM
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 0
RIG
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
2 - 4
FSM
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
FSM
3 - 2
FKT
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
4 - 1
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FKJ
2 - 1
SUP
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 0
FKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
FKJ
1 - 1
CAR
15%
22%
63%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |