FK Metta vs Riga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
10º
61
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 82 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 79 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 59 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 57 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 50 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 39 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 34 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 59% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
60.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 0
FSM
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
FSM
1 - 1
GRO
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
FKT
2 - 0
FSM
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
FSM
0 - 2
SUP
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
FSM
2 - 4
LIE
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
LIE
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 0
FKJ
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2025 |
AUD
1 - 3
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SUP
1 - 5
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |