FK Metta vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
9º
7º
42
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Metta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKJ
1 - 0
FSM
32%
26%
43%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 5
FSM
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 0
FSM
69%
20%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
4 - 0
FSM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CAR
5 - 0
FSM
66%
20%
13%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
1 - 2
BFC
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
BFC
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
FKJ
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 1
BFC
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 6
VAL
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |