Frosinone vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 1
FRO
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FRO
1 - 5
PIS
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
3 - 0
FRO
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 0
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
RIM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |