Frosinone vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
3 - 1
FRO
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 3
FRO
50%
25%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
FRO
1 - 5
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
PIA
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
LEC
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 1
LEC
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 0
VIC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |