Frosinone vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
2 - 1
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
FRO
30%
28%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
3 - 1
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 3
FRO
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FRO
1 - 2
PRG
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
CES
0 - 1
ACD
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CES
2 - 2
LAT
61%
24%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |