Friol vs Sporting Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+768%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
FRI
48%
23%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 4
PAL
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BEC
0 - 2
FRI
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FRI
3 - 0
GAR
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
RUB
3 - 0
FRI
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SLU
1 - 1
SCO
20%
21%
60%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
OUR
0 - 2
SLU
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
SLU
53%
22%
26%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SLU
0 - 3
PAL
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BEC
1 - 1
SLU
68%
17%
15%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |