Frigg vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
29
4º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 1
FAN
39%
22%
39%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOK
0 - 1
FRI
15%
17%
68%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FRI
2 - 4
GIF
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
STA
2 - 1
FRI
19%
17%
64%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 4
FRI
28%
19%
53%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SKJ
3 - 1
LIL
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LIL
0 - 1
OTF
21%
19%
60%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FAN
7 - 1
LIL
71%
16%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
STA
49%
20%
31%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
SKE
4 - 0
LIL
25%
21%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -3 |