Friburguense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
74.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 2
FRI
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RES
1 - 1
FRI
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FRI
2 - 0
CAB
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
BAN
3 - 1
FRI
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
BOA
4 - 0
FRI
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 4
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
TIG
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
3 - 3
FLU
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | -1 |