Friburguense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FRI
0 - 0
RES
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRI
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VOL
2 - 2
FRI
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
FRI
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 2
FLA
10%
18%
71%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
OSV
87%
11%
2%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAU
2 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
77%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |