Frias vs Montija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
34.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
GRO
4 - 1
FRI
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FRI
2 - 1
CER
54%
21%
26%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FRI
3 - 10
BUR
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 0
FRI
63%
19%
18%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
7 - 1
FRI
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ALB
0 - 2
MON
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
TRE
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
7 - 0
MON
86%
9%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
INT
8%
13%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
RBG
2 - 1
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |