Frias vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
45.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BUR
2 - 4
FRI
42%
20%
37%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FRI
1 - 3
TRE
44%
21%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BEB
6 - 0
FRI
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FRI
3 - 4
ALB
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 4
FRI
53%
19%
28%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CAP
0 - 1
FEL
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
2 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAP
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAP
1 - 2
BEB
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 3
CAP
35%
22%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |