Frias vs Capiscol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ONA
4 - 2
FRI
48%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 3
ALC
27%
23%
50%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAS
3 - 0
FRI
85%
11%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FRI
1 - 1
TRE
25%
22%
53%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
INT
4 - 1
FRI
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Capiscol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
UNI
41%
23%
36%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAP
60%
20%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 1
GRO
37%
23%
40%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
ALF
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ONA
2 - 1
CAP
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |