Fresno Fuego vs Ventura County Fusion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
SCS
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
FRE
5 - 2
SDZ
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
FRE
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 3
ARI
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ventura County Fusion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 2
VEN
36%
22%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 3
FRA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
2 - 1
VEN
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 2
VEN
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |