Fresno Fuego vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 1
OCB
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
FRE
0 - 1
VEN
51%
22%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
GSM
1 - 4
FRE
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
SEA
1 - 1
FRE
8%
16%
75%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
BDR
2 - 1
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
TUC
2 - 0
ALB
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
TUC
4 - 3
REA
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TUC
1 - 2
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
BYU
1 - 3
TUC
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
BYU
2 - 2
TUC
23%
23%
54%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |