Fresno Fuego vs Tucson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
OCP
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
OCP
1 - 3
FRE
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 1
FRE
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
BYU
0 - 4
FRE
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
VEN
34%
23%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2013 |
SEA
1 - 5
TUC
22%
22%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TUC
0 - 1
FRE
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
TUC
9 - 1
OCP
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SEA
1 - 1
TUC
22%
24%
55%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
HOD
2 - 0
TUC
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | -1 |