Fresno Fuego vs Santa Cruz Breakers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.9%
Win probability
3.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.8%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.5%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.5%
2.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
OCB
0 - 1
FRE
3%
9%
88%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
FRA
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
0 - 2
GSF
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
0 - 1
FRE
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VEN
4 - 4
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz Breakers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
SCB
3 - 1
SEA
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SCB
1 - 0
GSC
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GSC
0 - 1
SCB
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |