Fresno Fuego vs Glens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.5%
Win probability
4.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.9%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
+7
5%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.4%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
4.5%
1.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SCB
5 - 1
FRE
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 3
GSF
46%
23%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
GSF
3 - 2
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
FRE
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
SCB
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Glens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
SDZ
1 - 1
GSC
70%
17%
14%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
OCB
1 - 1
GSC
45%
22%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
GSC
1 - 2
FRA
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
GSC
3 - 0
SDZ
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SCB
1 - 0
GSC
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -3 |