Fresno Fuego vs San Diego Zest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.2%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 3
GSC
94%
5%
2%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SCB
5 - 1
FRE
9%
14%
78%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 3
GSF
46%
23%
32%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
GSF
3 - 2
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
FRE
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
San Diego Zest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 1
SDZ
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
SDZ
1 - 1
GSC
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
SDZ
0 - 1
VEN
27%
21%
53%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SCB
3 - 3
SDZ
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
FRA
0 - 2
SDZ
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |