Fresno Fuego vs San Diego Zest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
FRE
23%
24%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 2
VEN
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 3
ARI
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2017 |
BDR
0 - 3
FRE
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAQ
83%
10%
7%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
San Diego Zest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
SEA
2 - 0
SDZ
12%
17%
72%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 2
SDZ
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
SDZ
1 - 2
GSF
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 0
OCB
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SDZ
0 - 2
TUC
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |