Fresno Fuego vs OC Pateadores Blues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
VEN
2 - 2
FRE
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SEA
0 - 2
FRE
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 1
TUC
63%
19%
18%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
OCP
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
OCP
1 - 3
FRE
17%
21%
63%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
OC Pateadores Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
BYU
5 - 1
OCP
67%
18%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
GSM
1 - 1
OCP
76%
14%
9%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
VEN
3 - 2
OCP
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
OCP
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
OCP
1 - 3
FRE
17%
21%
63%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |