Fresno Fuego vs Golden State Misioneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
BYU
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 5
FCH
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GSM
0 - 1
FRE
31%
23%
45%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FRE
3 - 1
SEA
82%
12%
7%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 1
FRE
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | -2 |
Matches
Golden State Misioneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
GSM
0 - 1
VEN
20%
22%
59%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GSM
1 - 1
TUC
31%
25%
45%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
GSM
0 - 1
FRE
31%
23%
45%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
OCP
2 - 5
GSM
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
GSM
1 - 2
BYU
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |