Fresno Fuego vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
32%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
GSF
3 - 2
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
VEN
1 - 2
FRE
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
SCB
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
OCB
0 - 1
FRE
3%
9%
88%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | -5 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
FRA
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2018 |
GSF
3 - 2
FRE
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
OCB
2 - 1
GSF
3%
8%
89%
|
47 | 12 | 35 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2018 |
GSF
2 - 1
LVG
36%
23%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ORA
2 - 4
GSF
54%
22%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -3 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
GSF
6 - 0
FRA
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |