Fresno Fuego vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
0 - 1
FRE
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
VEN
4 - 4
FRE
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 3
GSF
58%
20%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 3
FRE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
GSF
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
GSF
6 - 0
SDZ
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 3
GSF
58%
20%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SEA
3 - 5
GSF
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GSF
4 - 2
SCS
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |