Fresno Fuego vs Golden State Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno Fuego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SDZ
2 - 3
FRE
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FRA
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2017 |
SCS
0 - 4
FRE
38%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
OCB
0 - 4
FRE
5%
11%
83%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
0 - 2
FRE
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Golden State Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SEA
3 - 5
GSF
9%
18%
73%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
GSF
4 - 2
SCS
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
GSF
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
BDR
1 - 1
GSF
19%
22%
58%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GSF
3 - 2
OCB
89%
9%
3%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |