Fresno FC vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
EPL
2 - 1
FFC
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
USA
2 - 1
FFC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FFC
2 - 1
ARI
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
FFC
5 - 0
RGV
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
LVG
3 - 1
FFC
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
TUL
50%
20%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
POR
6 - 3
TAC
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
MON
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
REN
5 - 0
TAC
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
3 - 0
TAC
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |