Fresno de La Ribera vs Sporting Zamora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 3
FRE
19%
18%
63%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 3
FRE
63%
18%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
FRE
1 - 1
CAM
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 4
FRE
7%
12%
80%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FRE
2 - 3
ASA
52%
20%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Zamora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOV
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VIL
7 - 2
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2025 |
SPO
4 - 3
CAM
29%
21%
50%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
3 - 3
SPO
17%
18%
66%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 4
ASA
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |