Fresno de La Ribera vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
RCB
1 - 1
FRE
84%
10%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 0
SAC
67%
17%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GCE
1 - 2
FRE
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 4
FRE
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
TOR
57%
19%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 2
BVD
85%
9%
6%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
26%
19%
55%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
CDN
31%
19%
50%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAN
24%
19%
57%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |