Fresno de La Ribera vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 3
FRE
78%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
FRE
0 - 1
VIL
45%
22%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 2
FRE
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
ATL
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
IZA
1 - 1
FRE
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
5 - 0
ATL
67%
17%
17%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IZA
0 - 1
SAN
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
SAN
58%
18%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
GCE
6 - 0
SAN
56%
21%
24%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
MOR
79%
12%
9%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |