Fresno de La Ribera vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 3
FRE
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
1 - 1
GCE
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
FRE
26%
21%
54%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOR
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
FRE
36%
22%
43%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIL
29%
20%
51%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 1
SAN
38%
21%
42%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
54%
20%
26%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
5 - 3
GCE
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
5 - 3
SAN
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |