Fresno de La Ribera vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
13.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
3 - 1
COR
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
RCB
0 - 2
FRE
77%
13%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
9 - 1
ATL
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BOV
2 - 2
FRE
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
UVA
5 - 0
FRE
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 3
RCB
38%
21%
41%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 5
SAN
29%
20%
51%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 10
BOV
26%
20%
54%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 3
SAN
29%
20%
51%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 1
SAN
33%
20%
47%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |