Fresno de La Ribera vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+118%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FUE
2 - 5
FRE
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 0
COR
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BOV
0 - 2
FRE
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 2
FRE
15%
19%
65%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FRE
2 - 1
TOR
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOR
5 - 3
SAN
40%
23%
37%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GCE
3 - 2
SAN
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 2
ATL
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |